The Golden Globes will be broadcast live February 28 with comediennes Amy Poehler and Tina Fey hosting on two coasts, from the usual Globes hub at the Beverly Hilton and New York’s Rainbow room, respectively. Oscar Best Picture eligibility ends February 28 (the original, pre-pandemic Oscar date, which is now moved to April 25). That means this year’s Globe winners have a tiny window to influence Oscar voting.
Here’s how today’s nominations could impact the Oscar race. (Full nominations list is here.)
Composers Atticus Ross and Trent Reznor landed two nominations, for their Bernard Herrmann-homage “Mank” and, with Jon Batiste, for Pixar’s jazz-infused “Soul.” The latter is the more likely Oscar nod. Searchlight 2. Never underestimate Frances McDormand. The powerhouse two-time Best Actress Oscar-winner reached out to “The Rider” director Chloé Zhao (so did Marvel, but that’s another story) to adapt Jessica Bruder’s 2017 book, and with four key Globe nominations “Nomadland” continues as the Oscar Best Picture and director frontrunner. Nothing is going to stop it, even if McDormand barely shows up for interviews. 3. “Promising Young Woman” is popular. But with whom? Yes, the HFPA gave the Sundance 2020 breakout four key nominations, including actress Carey Mulligan and writer-director Emerald Fennell. The SAG nominations will measure its mainstream appeal, as they did for “Parasite” last year. While an Original Screenplay Oscar slot is within the range of possibility, the small-scale Focus Features release would need deep support to wind up as a Best Picture contender. 4. Two, not three, women directors, could make it to the Oscar race. The Globes broke their record for women director nominees, adding Fennell to the expected nods for Zhao and the feature directing debut of beloved actress Regina King (“One Night in Miami”). That is unlikely to repeat with the Academy’s notoriously myopic directors branch. Two would be a significant victory. While the Globe voters unaccountably favored “Promising Young Woman” over “One Night in Miami” for Best Motion Picture Drama and Screenplay, King’s four-hander is steady as they go for the Oscars, as the upcoming SAG nominations should confirm. “Hamilton” star Leslie Odom, Jr. landed two “One Night in Miami” nominations, for Supporting Actor and Song (“Speak Now”), which could both win Globes — and Oscars. 5. Sacha Baron Cohen is a powerhouse. Three Globe nominations for “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm” will help Baron Cohen score his expected Supporting Actor slot at SAG and the Oscars for his role as Yippie Abbie Hoffman in “The Trial of the Chicago 7.” And Bulgarian newcomer Maria Bakalova should land Supporting Actress with both groups as well. 6. Andra Day has heat. The “United States vs. Billie Holiday” (Paramount/Hulu) narrative is strong — singer-turned-actress nails jazz legend — but the late-breaking Lee Daniels film will need supportive reviews to move forward in the awards race.